Keeper Analysis 2011 – Part 13 – Assman
The salamehockey.com site administrators, over the course the next few weeks, will be taking a look at each team’s roster and analyzing the likely scenarios for keepers and re-signs for the upcoming 2011-2012 season. TEAM: ASSMAN GM: ROB CAMPOPIANO FORWARDS – KEEPERS 1. Sidney Crosby, Penguins – Crosby shook off any doubt that he wasn’t the very top of the elite in the game in early 2010. His 26 game point streak helped remain atop the league scoring standings for quite some time, despite having suffered a major concussion on New Year’s Day and another the following game following hits from Dave Steckel and Victor Hedman. Crosby is a perennial 110-130 pt threat, he has eclipsed 120 before and will again, and assuming he returns to full health following a scary concussion spell in the 2011 half of the season, should be able to rebound very well given his drive and his level of competiveness. 2. Ilya Kovalchuk, Devils – the $100 million dollar man really delivered underwhelming results in 2010, especially to start the season, as New Jersey’s coaching change and playing philosophy only regained form under the guise of Jacques Lemaire mid-season. With that in mind, Kovalchuk is a career PPG player, a five-time 80 pt scorer and excellent all-around forward. Given the right situation, he has the talent to eclipse 90 pts, but under the assumption of a defensive-minded system (which remains to be seen to this point), expect more of an 80+ performance. 3. Jason Spezza, Senators – a true band aid boy, Spezza has only played one full 82 game season in his eight year career. And while has demonstrated in the past that 90 pts is not in the realm of impossible, as time goes on Spezza seems to be fitting the mold of the 70 game, 65-70 pt player rather than the dominant franchise center he once was. If he can keep himself on the ice and off the shelf for a full-year, he can surprise with 80 pts or more, as his 532 career pts in 526 games demonstrates. 4. Marian Gaborik, Rangers – after a seemingly endless parade of injuries, Gaborik has strung together Spezza-esque seasons (go figure) and remains a top line threat when he is healthy. Only 29, there may very well be a lot of hockey in him, and given the right centerman (ahem, Brad Richards perhaps?), Gaborik may eclipse 80 pts once again over 70+ games. 5. Evander Kane, Jets? – Evander Kane became a fan favorite after having clocked perennial pest Matt Cooke in 2010, and despite his ability to knock out players, Kane has taken great strides in developing his game as a power forward, scoring 43 pts in his sophomore year. The size and talent cannot be denied and Kane will likely crack 50 or more pts in the coming year, with a ceiling probably up in the 70s when he gets into his prime. 6. Dustin Brown, Kings – for a little while, it looked like Dustin Brown would finally deliver that 70 pt season people thought he could deliver. Not so much – the physical captain of the burgeoning Kings delivered another decent 57 pt finish, despite showing some potential alongside Kopitar on the top line. Inconsistencies brought Dustin back to earth, and with it, the Kings offensive numbers also suffered, with the team hitting a big dry spell near the end of the season. Expect more of the same, 50 to 60 pts, unless Brown can hit another level with his top linemate and any potential forward that may enter the mix from free agency. 7. Michael Grabner, Islanders – prior to the all-star break, Grabner looked to be dwindling in mediocrity after being shipped from Vancouver to Florida and then being picked off waivers by the Islanders. At some point in January, Grabner decided he’d score 30 goals in about 50 games, and the rest is history. Now firmly entrenched as part of the Long Island core of young forwards, expect Grabner to try to build on his second half success and likely score 30 goals with 15-20 assists, with upside for more as he grows stronger. FORWARDS – RESIGNS 8. Devin Setoguchi, Sharks – Devin showed signs of a return to his 65 pt form from 2008-2009, but only finished the year with 41 pts as the Sharks relied on other top six forwards for offense over the course of the second half. His role will continue to be among the top six, and a slight improvement might be expected in the coming year. 9. Teddy Purcell, Lightning – Teddy never really became what the Kings drafted him for and was dealt at the deadline in 2010 despite never being given a decent chance. Under the guidance of Guy Boucher, Purcell found his touch and became an agitating and physical component of the Tampa top nine, playing the majority of his time in 2011 with Vincent Lecavalier, or alongside Dominic Moore. Purcell followed up his 51 pt effort in 2011 with a very strong playoff, instilling great faith that the big winger could contribute in a top six role as he enters his prime. 10. RJ Umberger, Blue Jackets – Umberger continues to produce at a 55 pt level despite the Blue Jackets’ dire need to improve on the back end and in goal to ever be considered a playoff threat. Having not been paired up with Rick Nash for very much in 2011, he led the 2nd line for the majority of his ice time and never quits, important for a player of his size. Expect more of the same unless a major shakeup comes about in Columbus’ lineup. 11. Max Pacioretty, Canadiens – Pacioretty was rushed to the NHL in his early years and made the right decision to return to Hamilton to further his development. The dividends are now starting to come in for the Habs, and everyone in the Canadiens management team hopes MaxPac can regain […]